The situation along the Line of Control has been stable ever since the ceasefire agreement of 2021, but the ongoing tensions imply that the peace would probably be brittle and short-lived in the long term.
LoC Peace Holds, But For How Long?
As per the ceasefire agreement between India and Pakistan in 2021, the situation along the Line of Control (LoC) got relatively peaceful, without any major reporting by the Indian Army regarding ceasefire violations. This truce-signed pact was claimed to be the major paradigm shift, providing temporary relief to both sides, along with the opportunity to rebuild relations.
All that said, while cross-border gunfire is absent, what is more important is asking whether this peace will last. A ceasefire agreement to gradually bring down hostilities has in fact been achieved; however, the problems - cross border terrorism and border disputes - continue to simmer under the surface. The area continues to be densely militarized and there are frequent flare-ups over violation and blame.
LoC is calm as of now, but then lack of direct hostility does not mean that fighting has really come to an end. This fragile peace may be tested any moment, given the increasing political instability and switching between diplomatic relations. The real challenge lies not in maintaining the ceasefire but addressing the deeper unresolved issues that continue to fuel the conflict.
At this point in time, it seems the peace along the LoC might be temporary, but in a matter of months, without effort towards serious and sustained diplomatic engagement, the peace could easily be blown down, leaving the region with uncertainty once again.